About 2026's "weak" draft class:
For everyone hating early on the '26 class please sell me all of your picks at discount, I am a willing buyer. To everyone saying "sell all your '26 picks and move to '27" you have no idea what you are talking about and are primed to be stuck rebuilding for a decade. We have no idea what the '26 class looks like and forecasting fantasy success from a class 2 years out is impossible.
Let's just look at top 20 guys in startup ADP and see how many of them were junior/senior breakouts who you couldn't have forecasted a year before to get draft capital:
- 1.01 Josh Allen (bad in college, late draft riser)
- 1.02 Lamar Jackson (bad draft capital for QB)
- 1.03 Jayden Daniels (final cfb year breakout)
- 1.04 Joe Burrow (final cfb year breakout)
- 1.05 Jamar Chase (early breakout)
- 1.06 JJetas (final cfb year breakout)
- 1.07 Hurts (final cfb year breakout + bad draft capital)
- 1.08 Bowers (early breakout)
- 1.09 Mahomes (late draft riser)
- 1.10 CD (early breakout)
- 1.11 Amon Ra (bad draft capital)
- 1.12 Puka (bad draft capital)
- 2.01 Malik Nabers (early breakout)
- 2.02 Bijan Robinson (early breakout)
- 2.03 Gibbs (late draft riser)
- 2.04 BTJ (late breakout)
- 2.05 Mcbride (bad draft capital)
- 2.06 Herbert (early breakout, stayed senior year)
- 2.07 Stroud ( early breakout)
- 2.08 Nico (bad draft capital)
Overall you've got
- 8 QBs 75% which weren't projected good capital b4 last CFB
- 8 WRs 62.5% which weren't projected good capital b4 last CFB
- 2 TEs 50% which broke out early
- 2 RBs 50% which broke out early
This is not to mention the "generational can't miss" prospects that were projected this capital that busted when people tanked for these guys.
To name a few:
*TLaw QB18 *Caleb QB10 *Tua QB21 *Pitts TE10
First round top 10WRs from 2000-2024 have a sub 50% hit rate of putting up a WR1 season. The NFL still can't project WR success better than a coinflip with the best analysts in the world, i don't think we know any better.
Not to mention Jerayamiah Love just put up similar numbers to Bijan's sophomore year.
Lets hold back on trashing the '26 class before we even have a clue of what we've got, and if you're a happy seller of them I and others are more than willing to take them off your hand at any discount.