Is Zoe Saldana losing over Karla Sofia Gascon's antics?

I don't think EP is going empty handed, it should get at least 1 Oscar i think (Best Original Song is it's safest category), but it is a possibility that EP becomes so toxic that it could affect all the categories it's running and it either goes home empty handed or wins a single Oscar.

I feel Saldana is particularly in danger because there's a clear 2nd in her race (Ariana Grande) and there isn't a second in Best Original Song so assuming EP only takes 1 award home, i would assume it's Best Original Song because there's no clear 2nd place.

At this point, i just don't see Emilia Perez taking many awards home, at best i feel it takes Best Supporting Actress and Best Original Song, but it could go home empty handed or have a single win like A Star is Born (Best Original Song) and The Power of the Dog (Best Director), both of which were more respected and didn't have this level of drama attached to it. Wicked is clearly popular among the industry, it got 10 noms and managed to pull off Jonathan Bailey at SAG, Ariana is doing really well at regional critics and feels like a stronger candidate for an upset win right now than before.

Before this controversy, i already had compared Emilia Perez to The Power of the Dog, which was big on critics, but quite low on the general public's opnion. The Power of the Dog didn't spark too much outrage outside of conservatives being upset about it's subject theme and Black people particularly upset about Champion's tone deaf speech dismissing Venus and Serena's achievements to give herself a pat on the back. Champion went on to be the sole Oscar win of TPOTD with a long overdue narrative helping her against the odds. Can Emilia Perez have a similar trajectory and only win 1 Oscar? Or it's going home empty handed over the much bigger controversy surrounding it and the lack of a long overdue contender.